Eurovision 2026 Blog

886 articles — expert predictions, betting tips, odds analysis, and the latest Eurovision news.

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News2026-10-01

Iceland's RUV Board Backs 2027 Boycott

Six of nine RÚV board members backed staying out of Eurovision 2027 unless Israel is barred. Polymarket cut Iceland from 66% to 10% in three days.

News2026-10-01

Mongolia Picks Beck for Eurovision Asia 2026

MNC named Beck internally on 1 October; the public picks his song at Mongolia’s Chosen One on 10 October. Nine of the eleven acts are now set.

News2026-10-01

Beatmosphere Wins Voice of Bangladesh 2026

Beatmosphere won Voice of Bangladesh on 30 September with “Tumi Ele”, decided 40/40/20 — an a cappella act is Bangladesh’s first Eurovision entry.

Songs2026-09-29

Eurovision Asia 2026: Every Song Chosen So Far

Five Eurovision Asia 2026 songs are now out. Where to watch every one, what they reveal seven weeks out from Bangkok, and who leads the one betting market.

News2026-09-28

Thailand Picks MANG x DAOU for Eurovision Asia

MANG x DAOU won Thailand’s Chosen One on 27 September with “Aroma”, decided 40/40/20 — the host nation is the fifth complete Eurovision Asia entry.

Betting2026-09-28

Eurovision Asia Odds Open on Kalshi. Barely.

Kalshi opened the first Eurovision Asia 2026 market on 14 September. On 28 September its eleven prices sum to 143% and nine have no bid at all.

News2026-09-25

Thinla Sings Bae for Laos at Eurovision Asia

Laos picked “Bae” for Thinla on Sieng Lao: The One, decided 40/40/20 on 24 September — the fourth of eleven complete Eurovision Asia entries.

News2026-09-25

Netherlands Return to Eurovision 2027 Via NPO

NPO took the Dutch Eurovision 2027 mandate on 23 September with NOS broadcasting. AVROTROS has not moved. Polymarket repriced from 39% to 95.3%.

News2026-09-22

RTVE Chief Proposes Spain Skips Eurovision 2027

RTVE president Jose Pablo Lopez will propose a second Spanish absence from Eurovision 2027. The board has not voted. Polymarket cut Spain to 6%.

News2026-09-22

Eurovision Asia Moves To A Bigger Venue

Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026 has moved from the 4,234-seat IdeaLive to the larger One Bangkok Forum, eight weeks out. Tickets go on sale 2 October.

News2026-09-19

RTÉ Rules Ireland Out of Eurovision 2027

RTÉ will not enter or broadcast Eurovision 2027, citing Gaza. Ireland's second straight absence, the EBU's reply, and how the market repriced it.

News2026-09-17

Voice of Bangladesh: 10 Acts for Eurovision Asia

Voice of Bangladesh 2026 has ten acts, from SUBCONSCIOUS to Beatmosphere, for its 30 September final. Who they are and how the 40/40/20 vote works.

News2026-09-17

Laos Picks Thinla for Eurovision Asia 2026

Laos has named Thinla for Eurovision Asia 2026. She sings three songs on Sieng Lao: The One on 23 September, and a 24-hour public vote picks her entry.

News2026-09-17

How to Vote in Eurovision Asia 2026: Full Guide

How to vote in Eurovision Asia 2026: sign in at eurovisionasia.com/vote and spread 8 free votes over 3+ entries. National finals 40/40/20, Bangkok 50/50.

News2026-09-17

Eurovision Asia 2026 Calendar: Nepal to 7 October

Nepal Decides moves from 19 September to 7 October. Every remaining Eurovision Asia 2026 national final date, with CEST and local times, to 14 November.

News2026-09-10

Kazakhstan Eurovision 2027: Khabar Applies to EBU

Khabar Agency has applied for full EBU membership and a place at Eurovision 2027. Polymarket moved two points, and the market is probably right.

News2026-09-07

Vietnam Picks Tóc Tiên for Eurovision Asia 2026

VTV has internally selected Tóc Tiên for Eurovision Asia 2026. Her song is picked at The Sound of Vietnam on 3 October, where five teams compete.

News2026-09-04

JUNHEE Wins Korea's Next Wave for Eurovision Asia 2026

JUNHEE won Korea's Next Wave on 4 September with Deep Dive, making South Korea the fourth of eleven acts confirmed for Eurovision Asia 2026.

News2026-09-01

Eurovision 2027 Season Opens: The September Deadlines

Eurovision 2027 song eligibility opened on 1 September. Switzerland closes entries on the 7th, Sweden the 11th, Germany the 21st: the deadline calendar.

Betting2026-08-31

Carmelle Wins Philippine Selection Night — “Sobra-Sobra” Takes The Philippines To Eurovision Asia 2026

Carmelle won Pili, Pinas!: Philippine Selection Night in Quezon City on 30 August with “Sobra-Sobra (Too Much)”, beating Saga and JM dela Cerna & Marielle Montellano under the 40/40/20 jury-national-world split. The third Bangkok ticket decided, the second song known — and still no Eurovision Asia betting market anywhere.

Betting2026-08-27

Polymarket Eurovision: Every Live Market, Real Prices and How to Trade Them

Polymarket currently carries the only live Eurovision markets anywhere — 14 contracts on the 2027 field plus Junior Eurovision, which bookmakers legally cannot offer. Real prices as of 27 August, how the board repriced after the AVROTROS withdrawal, how a prediction market differs from a bookmaker, and the liquidity caveat that changes how you should read all of it.

Betting2026-08-25

Will Iceland Return for Eurovision 2027? Our Call: No, at About 65%

RÚV’s board chair says there has been “very little” discussion of participation, the board next meets at the end of September, and it is not clear Eurovision is even on the agenda. The EBU deadline is mid-October and Söngvakeppnin has been cancelled since January. Polymarket says 56% to compete — the most optimistic price of any boycotter. We disagree, and explain why that is still not a trade.

News2026-08-25

Two More Dutch Broadcasters Say No — and the EBU Goes Looking for a Replacement

KRO-NCRV and BNNVARA have both ruled out taking over the Netherlands’ Eurovision entry, a day after AVROTROS withdrew and handed the mandate back to NPO. Martin Green’s statement concedes the withdrawal while conceding nothing on the cause — and confirms the EBU is shopping for a successor with under two months to the deadline.

Betting2026-08-25

Eurovision Asia: Philippine Selection Night Preview — How to Watch, How to Vote, and Who Wins

Pili, Pinas!: Philippine Selection Night airs Sunday 30 August at 21:45 Philippine time (13:45 UTC) on ABS-CBN and the official Eurovision YouTube channel. Start times worldwide, the eight-votes-across-three-songs mechanic that lets anyone vote, why the result is 40/40/20 and not 50/50, the ten songs — and what the real search data says about a contest eleven weeks from its final.

News2026-08-25

Canada Opens Its First Eurovision Search: Ten Days to Apply, and the Song Comes Later

CBC/Radio-Canada opens applications on 31 August and closes them on 9 September for the first North American entry in Eurovision history. Canada picks the performer first and commissions the song afterwards — the reverse of almost every other country. Why the ten-day window shapes who shows up, and why Canada will be badly priced in the first market that opens.

News2026-08-25

Bulgaria Puts €20m Behind Eurovision 2027 — and Sofia Demands to See the Marking

€15m of it is the mandatory guarantee deposit and only €5m is operational money, so this is not the production budget it is being reported as. Meanwhile Sofia has formally asked BNT for its criterion-by-criterion bid scores — which, if published, would be the first public scorecard of an EBU host-city tender.

Betting2026-08-24

Will Ireland Boycott Eurovision 2027 Too? Our Call: Yes, at About 85%

RTÉ has not announced a 2027 decision, and we think it will not need to. Ireland's stated condition — Israel not competing — is now closed off, the EBU's reform package failed this exact test with AVROTROS today, domestic pressure runs one way, and the mid-October deadline has a default: staying out requires RTÉ to do nothing at all. The full reasoning, the strongest case against us, and why 22.5% on Polymarket is not a trade.

News2026-08-24

Thailand’s Chosen One: Ten Acts, and a Home-Venue Advantage Nobody Is Pricing

Channel 3 named ten acts on 19 August for the 27 September selection — held at IdeaLive, the same hall that stages the Eurovision Asia Grand Final seven weeks later. The full field, the five-member jury, the missing song titles, and why the host entry gets an edge that will not show up in any opening price.

Betting2026-08-24

Philippine Selection Night: The Ten Songs Are Out, and the Vote Isn’t 50/50 After All

All ten Philippine entries hit streaming on 17 August, and the confirmed split is 40% jury, 40% Filipino public, 20% international — not the 50/50 we reported. We correct it here. Why the Rest of the World 20% is effectively a second Filipino electorate, and why that advantage does not travel to Bangkok.

Betting2026-08-24

Polymarket Had the Netherlands at 35.5% — and the Thin Market Beat the Scoop

Published the morning AVROTROS announced its 2027 boycott. We argued the Netherlands price looked too low against Dutch reporting that the broadcaster had decided to return; hours later it withdrew. Kept up with a correction, because the full Polymarket participation board — Germany 97.8%, Canada 91.1%, Ireland 23.5% — and the volume warning behind it still stand.