On the South Korea Eurovision Asia odds, JUNHEE is a 1.2% outsider to win but an 11.5% chance to top the public vote. Polymarket, read at about 01:47 UTC on 9 November, also makes him joint favourite for third place at 20.5%, level with the host, Thailand, while pricing him at just 1.4% to top the juries. That gap is the whole JUNHEE Eurovision Asia case: an act whose support may sit outside the jury rooms, in a final decided 50% by juries and 50% by the public. He sings “DEEP DIVE” ninth of eleven in Bangkok on Saturday 14 November, straight after Thailand, and has his first rehearsal on the One Bangkok Forum stage today.
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Photo: JUNHEE performing “DEEP DIVE” at Korea’s Next Wave. Frame from the official performance video, Eurovision Song Contest Asia (eurovisionasia.com).
Key takeaways
- Winner: 1.2% (bid 0.7c, offer 1.7c), seventh of eleven, down from about 2.5% on 7 November.
- Public vote 11.5%, juries 1.4%. Third in the public-vote book behind Malaysia (38%) and the Philippines (34%), but ninth of eleven with the juries. No other country’s public price sits so far above its jury price.
- Joint favourite for third place at 20.5% (20c–21c) with Thailand. The Top 3 book also says 20.5%, and both cannot be right.
- The Rest of World rule helps; the own-country ban does not. Viewers outside the eleven vote in the public half only, so, on our reading, an overseas following counts in full there. Nobody living in South Korea can vote for him.
- His name travels. “junhee” draws about 8,100 Google searches a month in the US and 1,300 in the UK, far more than any other competing act we could measure.
- Slot 9, straight after the host. First rehearsal today, no reports yet. ENA shows the final at 22:30 KST.
What’s on this page
All six Korean prices · Who JUNHEE is and how he won · Public vote against juries · The Rest of World rule · US and UK search demand · Third place and the Top 3 · Slot 9 and rehearsal week · How we would read it
South Korea Eurovision Asia odds: all six books
Polymarket runs six Eurovision Asia markets, from the winner market to the second-place book, and South Korea has a line in each. The mid is halfway between the best bid and best offer, so the quote and last trade are shown too. These are prediction-market prices, not bookmaker odds: no fixed-odds bookmaker prices Eurovision Asia.
| Market | 7 Nov | 9 Nov (mid) | Bid / offer | Last trade | Korea line traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winner | ~2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7 / 1.7 | 0.8c | $1.2K |
| Jury winner | — | 1.4% | 1.0 / 1.8 | 4c | $0.7K |
| Public-vote winner | ~14.5% | 11.5% | 10 / 13 | 13c | $0.6K |
| Top 3 | ~22.5% | 20.5% | 17 / 24 | 25c | $1.4K |
| Second place | ~15% | 22.0% | 6 / 38 | — | $0.2K |
| Third place | ~17% | 20.5% | 20 / 21 | 19c | $1.0K |
The six Korean lines have taken about $5.1K between them, roughly 6% of the $79.3K traded across the event, so these are thin prices. Since 7 November the win, public-vote and Top 3 prices have all eased, while third place firmed from about 17% to 20.5%. On the day of our read, Polymarket’s one-day change field had the public-vote line down 3 points and third place up 3. The market’s view of JUNHEE is shifting from winning the phones towards finishing third. The 22% second-place mid is not a real price: it averages a 6c bid and a 38c offer, on a book that has taken $2.4K in total.
Kalshi, the US-regulated exchange, shows a 22c last trade on its Republic of Korea contract, but on only 61 contracts of lifetime volume, with no bid and a 44c offer. That is a stale print, not a price.
JUNHEE and “DEEP DIVE”: how he won Korea’s Next Wave
JUNHEE won Korea’s Next Wave, the country’s first-ever national selection show, on ENA on 4 September. Eight songs competed and Jo Kwon hosted. Sojeong Shim’s “EHERADIYA” was second and the duo Angel Noise third. Points came 40% from a professional jury, 40% from viewers in South Korea and 20% from a Rest of World vote, so the whole world could take part. ENA published the finishing order but no points. Our report from the night has all eight placings.
Sports Kyunghyang reported that he scored highly with both the judges and the public. Chaerina called it “a fantastic stage that made me want to join the fan club”, and Yoonhan said: “I got chills from the intro. You turned it into your own concert hall.” JUNHEE’s own message: “As an artist representing the Republic of Korea, I will not forget the weight of that name.”
JUNHEE is A.C.E’s Park Junhee. His official site, junhee.world, carries the footer “© H&P Entertainment” and links the Instagram account @ocean__park, the account the official Eurovision Asia Instagram tagged for South Korea on 26 October. The contest’s profile calls him a solo singer-songwriter focused on pop, R&B and dance, who runs his own one-person agency and is “trying to balance both roles of CEO and singer”.
“DEEP DIVE” is sung in English: the official lyric sheet has no Korean in it. For a betting read, the useful point is narrow. This is his only Eurovision Asia result so far, under a vote open to the world, and he won it. It says little about how the eleven national juries will rank him on Saturday. Country detail is on our South Korea at Eurovision Asia page.
View this post on Instagram (@eurovisionasia)
Public vote 11.5%, juries 1.4%: the gap that defines South Korea
The Grand Final is 50% professional juries and 50% public vote, combined for each competing country (section 8.2 of the voting terms). Polymarket prices each half separately. In the public-vote market South Korea is third at 11.5%, on a tight 10c–13c quote. In the jury market it is 1.4%, ninth of eleven, and its last jury trade, 4c, sits above today’s 1.8c offer.
| Country | Public-vote mid | Jury mid | Public ÷ jury |
|---|---|---|---|
| South Korea | 11.5% | 1.4% | about 8.2x |
| Philippines | 34.0% | 14.5% | 2.3x |
| Vietnam | 6.5% | 4.8% | 1.4x |
| Laos | 7.3% | 6.8% | 1.1x |
| Thailand | 3.0% | 4.5% | 0.7x |
| Malaysia | 38.0% | 67.5% | 0.6x |
The market sees a fan-vote act: one that could plausibly top the public vote and is unlikely to top any jury ranking. In our reading, that profile rarely wins under a 50/50 rule, hence the 1.2% outright. It does reach podiums. In Vienna in May, Romania came second on the televote with 232 points, took only 64 from the juries, and still finished third. Australia went the other way: joint second with the juries on 165, fourth overall.
One caution: the jury price is the chance of topping the jury vote. A 1.4% price is consistent with a solid mid-table jury score, which is all a podium needs if the public vote is strong. South Korea also matters to the favourites. If JUNHEE takes a large slice of the public vote, it most likely comes off the Philippines, which leans on the phones more than Malaysia. Our jury against public-vote guide sets out that scenario.
The Rest of World rule, and the votes JUNHEE cannot get
Two clauses of the official voting terms, last updated on 28 August, shape South Korea’s public vote more than any other entry’s.
- Rest of World (section 8.2). “Viewers from non-participating territories take part in the public vote only, aggregated as an additional Rest of World vote. No jury component applies to the Rest of World vote.”
- Own entry (section 3.3). In the Grand Final, nobody may vote for the entry of the territory where they live. Nobody in South Korea can vote for JUNHEE, however many watch on ENA.
What follows is our reading, not anything the organisers have said. JUNHEE’s public score has to come from the other ten competing countries and from the Rest of World bloc. Inside that bloc an overseas K-pop following counts in full, with no jury half to dilute it. If his following outside Asia is as large as his search numbers suggest, that is where it shows up. The limit is that the bloc is a single additional vote alongside the eleven national results, and the points scale has not been published. A big Rest of World win would help him, but nobody outside the production can say by how much.
Sections 6 and 6.1 limit any fanbase. Each voter gets eight free votes and can buy up to ten more, to a maximum of 18, with no more than 16 on one entry, spread across at least three countries. On free votes alone, that means at most six for any one act. A fan has to pay to put more than six on JUNHEE. In the other direction, every voter in the competing countries must give votes to at least three countries other than their own, and some of those spare votes could reach South Korea. That is an assumption, not data.
How far does JUNHEE reach? US and UK search demand
The Rest of World case needs a following outside the eleven countries, so we checked search demand. Google search data from DataForSEO, checked on 9 November, gives “junhee” an average of about 8,100 searches a month in the United States and 1,300 in the United Kingdom. Of the names we checked, only the two guest performers, Jeff Satur and DARA, draw numbers on that scale.
| Search term | Act | US, per month | UK, per month |
|---|---|---|---|
| junhee | JUNHEE (South Korea) | 8,100 | 1,300 |
| toc tien | Tóc Tiên (Vietnam) | 720 | 30 |
| carmelle | CARMELLE (Philippines) | 480 | 110 |
| aina abdul | Aina Abdul (Malaysia) | 70 | 50 |
| nyendra | Nyendra (Bhutan) | 30 | 30 |
| thinla | Thinla (Laos) | 30 | 20 |
| mang x daou | MANG x DAOU (Thailand) | 10 | 10 |
| beatmosphere | Beatmosphere (Bangladesh) | 10 | 10 |
| pratik himal rai | Pratik Himal Rai (Nepal) | 10 | no data |
| jeff satur | Jeff Satur (guest) | 12,100 | 1,600 |
| dara bangaranga | DARA (guest) | 1,300 | 2,400 |
Cambodia’s Monetrey is left out because the UK term mostly captures misspellings of Monterey, and Mongolia’s Beck because no figure was available. Read the rest with care. The “junhee” figure counts every search for the word, including for anyone else with the name, and reflects his career rather than the contest: “eurovision asia korea” gets about 10 searches a month in each country. Sports Kyunghyang noted that his “INTO THE OCEAN” world tour took him to fans in the United States, Europe and Canada, which fits. At home the picture reverses: “유로비전 아시아”, Eurovision Asia in Korean, gets about 50 searches a month in South Korea. Korean viewers could not vote for him anyway.
One check from the contest’s own channel. The official @eurovisionasia Instagram runs a series in which Delta Goodrem, Australia’s fourth-placed act in Vienna, sings each entry in its original language and the acts return the favour, JUNHEE with her “Eclipse”. In our 9 November read of the nine episodes we captured, JUNHEE’s had about 190,600 plays and 5,700 likes: sixth on plays, fifth on likes. Aina Abdul’s had about 480,200 plays. The posts went up on different days, so this is rough, but the K-pop following has not swamped the contest’s own channel so far.
View this post on Instagram (@eurovisionasia)
Third place at 20.5%: where the South Korea books disagree
South Korea is joint favourite in the third-place market, level with Thailand at 20.5% on an identical 20c–21c quote, though Thailand’s line has taken about $3.8K to South Korea’s $1.0K. The Top 3 market also has South Korea at 20.5%, on a wider 17c–24c quote. Both cannot be right. Finishing third is one of three ways to make the top three, so the Top 3 price should always be the higher one.
| Country | Third place | Top 3 | Top 3 ÷ third |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malaysia | 16.0% | 78.5% | 4.9x |
| Philippines | 20.0% | 69.5% | 3.5x |
| Thailand | 20.5% | 44.0% | 2.1x |
| Vietnam | 11.0% | 40.5% | 3.7x |
| Laos | 8.5% | 27.5% | 3.2x |
| South Korea | 20.5% | 20.5% | 1.0x |
For the five countries ahead of South Korea in the Top 3 market, the Top 3 price is two to five times the third-place price. For South Korea they are equal. Add the 1.2% win price and the 6c second-place bid, and the place markets imply a Korean podium chance of about 28%, against 20.5% in the Top 3 market. That is our arithmetic, not a quoted price. Nepal’s place prices are inconsistent too, but on quotes up to 13 cents wide.
The last trades are more coherent than the mids: Top 3 last traded at 25c, above its own mid, and third place at 19c. Read together, the place markets describe a country unlikely to win, unlikely to finish second, and with a real chance of third. That is what a strong public vote and a modest jury score would produce, as Romania showed in Vienna.
Slot 9, straight after the host, and rehearsal week
South Korea sings ninth of eleven. Thailand’s MANG x DAOU (“Aroma”) perform just before him in slot 8, and Nepal’s Pratik Himal Rai and Malaysia’s Aina Abdul close the show. So the two joint favourites for third perform one after the other, in a closing run that includes the winner favourite.
Our reading, and only a reading: JUNHEE performs to the home crowd straight after its own act, and nobody living in Thailand, in the hall or watching on Channel 3, can vote for Thailand. Their votes must go to at least three other countries, and South Korea is the next act they see. Vienna is the reminder not to overrate any slot, though: DARA won singing 12th of 25, and the host, Austria, closed the show and finished 24th. Our running-order analysis covers all eleven slots.
JUNHEE has his first rehearsal at the One Bangkok Forum today, 9 November, Bangkok time, alongside Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, Vietnam, Mongolia and Nepal, according to Eurovoix. There are no reports from it yet. Before rehearsals began, Eurovoix noted that the Korean delegation had revealed nothing about the staging. Rehearsal clips are the next real information on South Korea, and the public-vote book is the one most likely to react.
The Preview Show follows on Friday 13 November at 20:30 ICT, then the Grand Final on Saturday 14 November at 20:30 ICT (14:30 CET, 13:30 UTC), free on the Eurovision Song Contest YouTube channel. ENA carries it in South Korea at 22:30 KST. Every broadcaster and start time is in our viewing guide.
How we would read the JUNHEE Eurovision Asia price
The 1.2% win price looks about right. Winning under a 50/50 rule needs strength in both halves, and the jury book has South Korea ninth of eleven. Long shots do land: DARA won Vienna as a roughly 6% fourth favourite, while Finland, at 41%, finished sixth. But 1.2% is a different order of outsider.
The 11.5% public-vote price is the most defensible Korean number. It rests on a Rest of World bloc with no jury half and on US and UK search demand far above any rival’s. Against that, Korean viewers cannot vote for him, his Delta Goodrem episode sits mid-table, and the line fell 3 points on the day. Today’s rehearsal is the first test.
Of the two podium prices, the Top 3 mid is the weaker number. The third-place line is quoted a cent wide; the Top 3 line is quoted seven cents wide and last traded above its mid. Our reading is that South Korea’s podium chance sits nearer the 25% to 28% that the trades and place books point to than the 20.5% mid. The second-place book, a 6c bid against a 38c offer, is not a price at all.
Everything runs through the phones. If JUNHEE wins the public vote or comes close, he is a podium contender. If not, the 1.4% jury price says the juries will not rescue him. The rest of the field is on the Eurovision Asia hub.
FAQ
What are JUNHEE’s odds of winning Eurovision Asia?
On Polymarket, read about 01:47 UTC on 9 November, South Korea is 1.2% to win (bid 0.7c, offer 1.7c), 11.5% to top the public vote, 1.4% to top the juries and joint favourite for third at 20.5%. No fixed-odds bookmaker prices Eurovision Asia, and prediction-market prices are not bookmaker odds.
Why is South Korea priced higher on the public vote than with the juries?
Traders expect his support to come from fans. Viewers outside the eleven competing countries vote in the public half only, as a Rest of World bloc with no jury half, so an international following counts in full there. That is our reading; the organisers have not published how the bloc converts into points.
Can people in South Korea vote for JUNHEE?
No. Section 3.3 of the voting terms bars residents from voting for their own country’s entry in the Grand Final. Voters aged 18 or over anywhere else, including the other ten competing countries, can vote for him at eurovisionasia.com/vote.
Is JUNHEE from A.C.E?
Yes. JUNHEE is A.C.E’s Park Junhee. His official site, junhee.world (“© H&P Entertainment”), links his Instagram, @ocean__park, which the official Eurovision Asia account tags for South Korea.
When does JUNHEE perform, and how can I watch in Korea?
Ninth of eleven in the Grand Final on Saturday 14 November, which starts at 20:30 ICT (14:30 CET, 13:30 UTC). ENA shows it at 22:30 KST, and it streams free worldwide on the Eurovision Song Contest YouTube channel.
What is “DEEP DIVE”?
South Korea’s entry, sung in English. JUNHEE won Korea’s Next Wave with it on ENA on 4 September, ahead of Sojeong Shim and Angel Noise, under a 40% jury, 40% Korean public and 20% Rest of World vote.
Sources
- Polymarket Gamma API, read about 01:47 UTC on 9 November 2026, against this site’s 7 November read. Mids are the midpoint of best bid and offer; volumes are per South Korea line. Kalshi trade API, read 9 November 2026.
- Eurovision Asia voting terms, sections 3.3, 6.1 and 8.2, updated 28 August 2026.
- eurovisionasia.com: “Korea’s Next Wave has its first champion” (4 September 2026), the JUNHEE artist page and the How to Watch page. Official @eurovisionasia Instagram posts of 26 October to 7 November, counts read 9 November.
- Eurovoix, 7 and 9 November 2026. Sports Kyunghyang (English edition), 8 September 2026. junhee.world, read 9 November 2026.
- Search volume: Google search data from DataForSEO, average monthly searches, checked 9 November 2026. Vienna 2026 scores: this site’s Eurovision 2026 results data.
18+. Prediction-market prices move continuously and fastest in rehearsal week, and thin books can move without trades. Check the live board before acting on anything here. Markets carry risk.