Vietnam opens and Malaysia closes the Eurovision Song Contest Asia 2026 Grand Final in Bangkok on Saturday 14 November. That puts the 54.5% favourite, Aina Abdul, in the last slot of the night. The organisers published the order on 29 October. Here it is in full, set against Polymarket’s prices, with a note on every slot and what May’s contest in Vienna suggests about how much a slot is worth.
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Photo: the eleven acts of Eurovision Asia 2026. Official image, Eurovision Song Contest Asia (eurovisionasia.com).
Key takeaways
- The favourite closes: Malaysia sings 11th of 11. It is 54.5% to win and 78.5% for the podium on Polymarket (mids, 9 November).
- The second favourite sings in the middle: the Philippines, 25%, is in slot 6.
- The back third is loaded. Thailand (8), South Korea (9), Nepal (10) and Malaysia (11) include the winner favourite, two of the four podium favourites and South Korea, joint-favourite for third.
- Vietnam opens with Tóc Tiên, 8.1% to win and 40.5% for the podium.
- Vienna in May says not to overrate the slot: the winner sang 12th of 25, the closing act finished 24th, and the opener finished 7th.
What’s on this page
The running order with the odds · Slot by slot · The closing slot · The opening slot · What Vienna says · How we would read it · FAQ
Eurovision Asia 2026 running order with the odds
Prices are Polymarket mids read about 01:47 UTC on 9 November: the winner market and the Top 3 market. The last column is each act’s first rehearsal day in Bangkok.
| Slot | Country | Act | Song | Win | Top 3 | First rehearsal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vietnam | Tóc Tiên | “EM TIÊN” | 8.1% | 40.5% | 9 Nov |
| 2 | Cambodia | Monetrey | “I Let You Go” | 0.1% | 13.0% | 8 Nov |
| 3 | Laos | Thinla | “BAE” | 5.5% | 27.5% | 8 Nov |
| 4 | Mongolia | Beck | “Chamguigeer (Without You)” | 0.2% | 11.0% | 9 Nov |
| 5 | Bhutan | Nyendra | “Lhayi Semo” | 0.1% | 7.5% | 8 Nov |
| 6 | Philippines | CARMELLE | “Sobra-Sobra” | 25.0% | 69.5% | 9 Nov |
| 7 | Bangladesh | Beatmosphere | “Tumi Ele” | 0.1% | 6.1% | 8 Nov |
| 8 | Thailand | MANG x DAOU | “Aroma” | 4.5% | 44.0% | 9 Nov |
| 9 | South Korea | JUNHEE | “DEEP DIVE” | 1.2% | 20.5% | 9 Nov |
| 10 | Nepal | Pratik Himal Rai | “Ananta Maya” | 8.0% | 6.0% | 9 Nov |
| 11 | Malaysia | Aina Abdul | “Bluest Sky” | 54.5% | 78.5% | 9 Nov |
Slot by slot
Eleven songs is a short show by Eurovision standards, fewer than half the songs in a European Grand Final. That makes each slot’s neighbours matter more. A ballad between two up-tempo songs stands out, and so does a big production between two simple ones. The notes below cover each act’s position, what is known about its Bangkok version, and how the market prices it.
1. Vietnam: Tóc Tiên, “EM TIÊN”
Opens the first Eurovision Asia. Tóc Tiên won The Sound of Vietnam on 3 October and said on 15 October that the song would be reworked “for a more global appeal”, with a bigger techno drop. She sets the bar every other act is compared with. The market has her as the fourth contender, with real money behind her winner price.
Tóc Tiên. Official image, Eurovision Song Contest Asia.
2. Cambodia: Monetrey, “I Let You Go”
A trilingual ballad in Khmer, English and French, straight after the opener. His first rehearsal was the most minimal staging of the first day: one man and a spotlight. Cambodia was the last country to select, on 17 October.
3. Laos: Thinla, “BAE”
The first act to rehearse in Bangkok, with at least four dancers and a new look. Her Top 3 price jumped 11.5 points on rehearsal day, on wide quotes.
4. Mongolia: Beck, “Chamguigeer (Without You)”
Mongolia’s runner-up song from Mongolia’s Chosen One. It replaced the winner, “Light”, which was ruled ineligible because it was released in 2018.
5. Bhutan: Nyendra, “Lhayi Semo”
The first artist ever confirmed for Eurovision Asia, solo in the gho before a Himalayan backdrop. Untraded quotes put him third in the jury market, at 7.8%.
6. Philippines: CARMELLE, “Sobra-Sobra”
The second favourite sings in the exact middle of the show. CARMELLE won Philippine Selection Night on 30 August, and her case rests on the public vote, where she is 34% against Malaysia’s 38%.
7. Bangladesh: Beatmosphere, “Tumi Ele”
The a cappella and beatbox group follows the Philippines, with new outfits and choreography for Bangkok.
8. Thailand: MANG x DAOU, “Aroma”
The host opens the final third. It is 44% for the podium and 4.5% to win, and it cannot collect a single vote from Thai residents.
9. South Korea: JUNHEE, “DEEP DIVE”
A.C.E’s Park Junhee. He is 11.5% on the public vote but 1.4% with the juries, and joint-favourite for third place with Thailand.
10. Nepal: Pratik Himal Rai, “Ananta Maya”
His winner price doubled on wide quotes this week, to 8%, while his Top 3 price is just 6%, down from the 11–15% band he shared with five others on 7 November. A country cannot be likelier to win than to make the podium, so one of those two books is wrong.
11. Malaysia: Aina Abdul, “Bluest Sky”
The favourite closes the show. “Bluest Sky” is a song she wrote herself, arranged and co-produced by Mac Chew, released on 9 October.
Eurovision Asia running order: what the closing slot gives Malaysia
Closing has one clear advantage: nobody follows you. The last song is the one freshest in viewers’ minds when the voting window closes. The organisers say the window opens and closes at times announced on air, so we do not know whether it opens before the first song or after the last. For the jury half, slot order matters less. Juries are professionals marking every song, and that half is where Malaysia’s price is strongest.
The closing slot also brings exposure. Aina Abdul sings straight after Nepal, the act whose winner price doubled this week on quotes alone. She ends a run of four acts that includes two of the four podium favourites. If the back of the show is where the contest is decided, Malaysia gets the last word.
The opening slot: Tóc Tiên sets the bar
Opening the first Eurovision Asia is a statement slot. Tóc Tiên has the profile for it, a reworked song with a bigger drop, and the market has her as the fourth favourite at 8.1% to win, with some real money behind that price. The risk is the reverse of Malaysia’s: ten songs come between her and the vote. Viewers have to remember her, and casual voters spreading eight votes across three or more countries will mostly decide late.
Vietnam rehearses today, 9 November. Our day-one rehearsal report covers the four acts that went first.
What Vienna says about running orders
The best evidence we have on slots is the most recent big final, Eurovision 2026 in Vienna in May. From this site’s Vienna results:
| Final position | Country | Slot (of 25) | Pre-contest market rank |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bulgaria (DARA) | 12 | 4th (about 6%) |
| 2 | Israel | 3 | 5th |
| 3 | Romania | 24 | 6th |
| 4 | Australia | 8 | 2nd (about 22%) |
| 6 | Finland | 17 | 1st (about 41%) |
| 7 | Denmark (opened the show) | 1 | — |
| 24 | Austria (closed the show) | 25 | — |
The podium came from slots 12, 3 and 24: early, middle and late. The opener finished 7th, and the closing act finished 24th of 25, so closing did nothing for a song the public and juries did not rate. The favourite sang in the second half and finished sixth. In Vienna, the slot was a small factor next to the song and the staging.
Two cautions. Vienna had 25 finalists, Bangkok has eleven, and in a shorter show every song is closer to the vote. And this is a new contest, with new audiences who have no Eurovision voting habits.
How the Eurovision Asia running order was set
The organisers have not said how the order was chosen, whether by draw, by producers or by a mix. The order does show some deliberate patterns. The host sings eighth. The two biggest favourites are five slots apart. The first five slots hold three of the four acts priced at 0.2% or less to win: Cambodia, Mongolia and Bhutan. The fourth, Bangladesh, sings seventh. That is the kind of pacing producers aim for, but it is our reading, not a published method.
How we would read the running order
For the winner market, the order mostly confirms what the price already says. Malaysia’s 54.5% rests on the jury book, and juries are the half least affected by slots. Closing is a modest bonus on the public half, where she needs it most.
The podium books are where slots could matter. Thailand (44% podium) and South Korea (20.5%) sing back to back in slots 8 and 9. Both depend on breadth more than on topping either half. A strong late run could lift both. If one stands out, the other may be squeezed.
Watch the sequence from 6 to 8. The Philippines, the second favourite, is followed by Bangladesh, the lowest-priced act, and then the host. If the Philippines’ route to victory is a big public vote, a strong slot 6 followed by a song the market does not rate gives CARMELLE room to stay in viewers’ minds until Thailand’s home crowd lifts the room for the final third.
Vietnam is the slot-against-price question. A 40.5% podium price for the opening act assumes Tóc Tiên is remembered ten songs later. Today’s rehearsal is the first evidence on whether the reworked song is strong enough for that.
For the full board, see our odds report. Start times for every country are in the viewing guide, and each act is profiled on the Eurovision Asia hub.
Running order FAQ
Who opens Eurovision Asia 2026?
Vietnam’s Tóc Tiên, with “EM TIÊN”, in slot one. Cambodia’s Monetrey follows in slot two.
Who closes Eurovision Asia 2026?
Malaysia’s Aina Abdul, with “Bluest Sky”, in slot eleven. She is also the betting favourite, at 54.5% on Polymarket on 9 November.
When was the running order announced?
The organisers published it on 29 October 2026, sixteen days before the Grand Final. The fan press reported it in the days after, including ESCXTRA on 4 November.
Where does the host country perform?
Thailand’s MANG x DAOU sing eighth, with “Aroma”. Under the voting rules, Thai residents cannot vote for them.
Does a late slot help win Eurovision?
Not on its own. In Vienna in May, the winner sang 12th of 25, the closing act finished 24th, and the podium came from slots 12, 3 and 24.
Sources
- Running order: Eurovision Song Contest Asia, 29 October 2026; also ESCXTRA, 4 November.
- Prices: Polymarket Gamma API, about 01:47 UTC on 9 November 2026, mids between best bid and best offer; placeholder contracts excluded.
- Vienna slots, results and pre-contest market ranks: this site’s Eurovision 2026 results data.
18+. Prediction-market prices move quickly in contest week; check the live board before acting.