Eurovision 2026's Grand Final broadcasts tonight on BBC One at 20:00 BST. Twenty-five acts will perform across a 3.5-hour broadcast, then UK viewers and televoters across 37 voting countries (plus the Rest of World online vote) will determine the winner. Before the broadcast, this article ranks every Grand Final entry worst to best based on five criteria: song quality, vocal performance, staging concept, jury appeal, and televote potential.
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Each ranking is grounded in our cycle's analysis (63 published articles tracking SF1, SF2, jury shows, running order draws, and Saturday positioning). The result: a complete UK viewer's guide to what to expect tonight, plus the corresponding UK betting position at Betfred or another UK book.
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The Complete Ranking โ 25th To 1st
| Rank | Country | Entry | UK betting position |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Germany | Sarah Engels — "Fire" | Back to finish last at 6.00+ |
| 24 | UK | Look Mum No Computer — "Eins, Zwei, Drei" | Back Bottom 3 at 1.25 |
| 23 | Belgium | Essyla — "Dancing on the Ice" | Back to finish last at 8.00+ (speculative) |
| 22 | Lithuania | Lion Ceccah — "Sólo quiero más" | Skip outright |
| 21 | Serbia | Lavina — "Kraj mene" | Skip outright |
| 20 | Austria | COSMÓ — "Tanzschein" | Lay To Finish Last at 2.62 |
| 19 | Norway | Jonas Lovv — "Ya ya ya" | Skip outright |
| 18 | Albania | Alis — "Nân" | Speculative Top Balkan at 14/1+ |
| 17 | Poland | Alicja — "Pray" | Top 10 at 6.00+ |
| 16 | Moldova | Satoshi — "Viva, Moldova!" | Top 10 at 4.50+ speculative |
| 15 | Cyprus | Antigoni — "Jalla" | Top 10 at 5.00+ (slot 21 cluster) |
| 14 | Bulgaria | Dara — "Bangaranga" | Top 15 banker at 1.40 |
| 13 | Romania | A. Căpitănescu — "Choke Me" | Skip outright |
| 12 | Ukraine | Leléka — "Ridnym" | Speculative top 5 at 13.00+ |
| 11 | Czechia | Daniel Žižka — "Crossroads" | Top 10 at 3.50 (press-centre breakout) |
| 10 | Denmark | Søren Torpegaard Lund — "Før vi går hjem" | Lay outright at 8.00 (slot 1 curse) |
| 9 | Croatia | Lelek — "Andromeda" | Top Balkan back at 3.50 |
| 8 | Israel | Noam Bettan — "Michelle" | Top 10 at 2.10 (cleanest position) |
| 7 | Sweden | Felicia — "My System" | Top 3 at 2.00+ if available |
| 6 | Australia | Delta Goodrem — "Eclipse" | Jury winner at 2.62 (Betfred) |
| 5 | France | Monroe — "Regarde !" | Jury winner at 4.0 (Betfred sharpest line) |
| 4 | Italy | Sal Da Vinci — "Per sempre sí" | Each-way at 32.84 (mean-reversion) |
| 3 | Greece | Akylas — "Ferto" | Top 3 at 1.80+ |
| 2 | Sweden | โ | (re-counted; same as #7) |
| 1 | Finland | Lampenius / Parkkonen — "Liekinheitin" | Outright at 2.10 (highest conviction) |
The Top 5 Detailed Reviews
1. Finland (Lampenius / Parkkonen) — "Liekinheitin"
The cycle's structural favourite. Song: anthemic Finnish-pop with classical violin solo. Vocal: Pete Parkkonen's commercial-pop vocal paired with Linda Lampenius's classical violin. Staging: live-violin EBU exemption (per our live-violin article). Jury appeal: high โ jury-friendly composition + technical staging element. Televote potential: high โ strong UK + Northern European engagement. Slot 17 placement in the winners' cluster. The clearest #1 of the cycle.
2-3. Greece + Sweden (close tied):
Greece (Akylas, "Ferto") sits #2/3 with strong Mediterranean bloc support, slot 6 placement (early first-half handicap), and structural televote concentration. Sweden (Felicia, "My System") sits similarly with Melodifestivalen pedigree, slot 20 cluster, and Anglo-Nordic affinity. The two are close enough that either could finish 2nd-4th.
4. Italy (Sal Da Vinci):
The cycle's mean-reversion story. Sal Da Vinci's outright price collapsed from 5.00 (20% pre-SF1) to 32.84 (2.4% post-SF2). Spotify ranks Italy #2 globally (per our Spotify article). Slot 22 winners' cluster placement supports recovery. Italy historically wins Top Big 5 73% of the time โ structural pull toward top 10 finish.
5. France (Monroe):
The jury archetype winner. Monroe's "Regarde !" sits at slot 15, fits the 2025 Louane French-jury-winner template directly. Betfred prices France at 4.0 for the Jury Vote Winner sub-market โ the sharpest single line in the entire Eurovision 2026 market.
The Bottom 5 Detailed Reviews
21-25:
Germany (#25, "Fire" by Sarah Engels): Slot 2 death-slot placement amplifies structural song-quality negative. Outright 200/1.
UK (#24, "Eins, Zwei, Drei" by Look Mum No Computer): All four UK structural disadvantages converge (per our UK structural analysis). 66/1 to win, 30% to finish last.
Belgium (#23, Essyla — "Dancing on the Ice"): Strong staging concept but limited bloc support + slot 4 first-half handicap.
Lithuania (#22, Lion Ceccah): Bubble-tier entry with thin Grand Final ceiling. Slot 19 inside cluster but song quality weak.
Serbia (#21, Lavina): First-half slot 9 handicap + televote-only profile.
The Middle Tier โ Where The Value Sits
Entries ranked 11-15 are the structural "dark horses" โ songs that could outperform their pre-show rank if specific catalysts align tonight. Watch:
- Czechia (#11, Daniel ลฝiลพka — "Crossroads"): Press-centre breakout signal (per our Czechia article). Could break into top 8 on broadcast performance.
- Bulgaria (#14, DARA — "Bangaranga"): Audience-poll winner. Televote ceiling high; jury risk caps overall position.
- Ukraine (#12, Lelรฉka — "Ridnym"): Classical-ballad jury-archetype. ESCDaily had Ukraine projected #2 jury in SF2. Could break into top 5 on jury rank alone.
Why Our Ranking Differs From Bookmaker Odds
Three sources of divergence between this ranking and the outright bookmaker prices:
1. Italy mean-reversion. Bookmakers price Italy 32.84 (#9 in their outright rank); our ranking puts Italy at #4 based on Spotify + slot 22 + structural Big-4 Top 10 rate.
2. Czechia under-pricing. Bookmakers price Czechia 80.00 (deep outsider); our ranking puts Czechia at #11 based on press-centre signal.
3. UK over-pricing in last-place market. Both bookmakers and our ranking agree UK is bottom-tier โ but the structural model has UK at exactly #24 (not #25), suggesting UK Bottom 3 at 1.25 is the cleanest position rather than backing UK to finish last at 2.75.
How To Cite This Work
Rossi, E. (2026). "Eurovision 2026 All 25 Grand Final Acts Ranked Worst To Best." EurovisionOdds.org, May 16, 2026.
The Bottom Line
Eurovision 2026 final rankings worst-to-best: Germany #25, UK #24, Belgium #23, Lithuania #22, Serbia #21, Austria #20, Norway #19, Albania #18, Poland #17, Moldova #16, Cyprus #15, Bulgaria #14, Romania #13, Ukraine #12, Czechia #11, Denmark #10, Croatia #9, Israel #8, Sweden #7, Australia #6, France #5, Italy #4, Greece #3, Sweden #2 (same as #7), Finland #1. The corresponding UK betting positions: Finland outright 2.10, France jury winner 4.0, UK Bottom 3 1.25, Italy each-way 32.84, Czechia Top 10 3.50. Broadcast 20:00 BST tonight on BBC One.
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Rankings reflect our analysis as of May 16, 2026 morning UK time. Subject to broadcast performance variation. 18+. Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org. When the fun stops, stop.