Eurovision 2025: Semi-Final Qualification Odds Heat Up with Three Weeks Remaining

We have three weeks until the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 live shows. This fact makes the odds for semi-final qualification grow tighter. Bettors watch the shifting chances. The chance of each contender connects with market views and past outcomes.

Semi-Final One: Predictability Reigns

In Semi-Final One, the top five favorites sit close together. Sweden’s entry Kaj sings "Bara bada bastu." The Netherlands’ Claude sings "C’est la vie." Both act as heads with a 92% chance to qualify. History shows that these types of front-runners win their rounds.

San Marino’s Gabry Ponte plays the role of an unexpected risk. He carries a 66% chance to qualify. UK betting marks this as a chance for a surprise, since this is only the fourth time San Marino reaches the Grand Final.

Current Odds for Semi-Final One (as of April 21, 2025):

• Sweden: 92%
• Netherlands: 92%
• Estonia: 91%
• Ukraine: 91%
• Albania: 89%
• San Marino: 66%

Semi-Final Two: A Battle for the Final Spots

In Semi-Final Two, the field opens up. Finland’s Erika Vikman leads with a 92% chance, tied in strength with Israel and Austria. The fight for the last spots remains intense. Finland stands reliable, so many bettors choose it as a safe bet.

Denmark sees its chance fall to 48%. This drop marks their fifth show in a row with low odds. Bettors adjust their choices as Denmark struggles to connect with success.

Current Odds for Semi-Final Two (as of April 21, 2025):

• Finland: 92%
• Israel: 91%
• Austria: 91%
• Malta: 79%
• Serbia: 57%
• Denmark: 48%

Value Opportunities and Betting Strategies

Some entries now appear as good chances for gain. Iceland’s VÆB shifts upward from a 24% to a 37% chance. Bettors can see a chance to profit if rehearsal reviews show strength.

Meanwhile, countries like Parg and Tautumeitas see their odds drop. Their performance and staging now form a smaller connection to a win. Bettors should stay alert during rehearsals and watch for any sudden moves.

Betting Insights:

• Check rehearsal reviews—they can shift odds fast.
• Betting stops as semi-finals start on May 13, 2025. Bettors must act soon.

Staying updated on trends and placing bets with care can bring profit as the Eurovision excitement builds.

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